Gela vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
GEL
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TUR
5 - 1
GEL
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 2
BAR
8%
23%
69%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 2
GEL
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
FCI
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
ACI
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
USC
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |