Gela vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.6%
69.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
21.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
28.9%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 2
GEL
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MES
3 - 0
GEL
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GEL
5 - 1
ROC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 4
GEL
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAL
83%
14%
4%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
10%
22%
68%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CIT
82%
14%
5%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 3
BAR
6%
20%
73%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
LOC
80%
15%
6%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | 0 |