Gela vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
GEL
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
CCI
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
2 - 3
GEL
13%
18%
70%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 0
PPI
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ACI
3 - 0
CCI
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
POR
4 - 4
ACI
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
PPI
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ACI
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |