Geita Gold vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geita Gold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
YOU
1 - 0
GGF
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DJF
0 - 1
GGF
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KMC
1 - 1
GGF
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
GGF
0 - 0
KAG
46%
28%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GGF
1 - 3
MFC
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 0
MTI
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MTI
2 - 1
TAN
33%
30%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SBS
0 - 2
MTI
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
MTI
0 - 0
DJF
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
MTI
51%
29%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |