Gefle vs Östersunds FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
15º
11º
27
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
DEG
1 - 0
GEF
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 3
ORG
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 1
GEF
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 1
OIF
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HUD
0 - 1
GEF
14%
19%
68%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Östersunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
OST
1 - 2
GIF
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
HEL
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEG
2 - 0
OST
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
SKO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
OST
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |