Gefle vs Orebro SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
15º
14º
31
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 51 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 49 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 35 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 26 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
OST
4 - 3
GEF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
GEF
1 - 0
GIF
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 0
SKO
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OIF
0 - 0
GEF
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Orebro SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 1
UTS
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
ORE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
DEG
29%
26%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
ORE
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
IKB
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |