Gefle vs IK Brage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
15º
11º
37
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
DEG
1 - 0
GEF
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 3
ORG
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 1
GEF
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 1
OIF
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HUD
0 - 1
GEF
14%
19%
68%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
IK Brage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
IKB
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
IKB
0 - 0
UTS
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GIF
0 - 0
IKB
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IKB
0 - 2
ORG
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
IKB
0 - 3
HEL
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |