Gefle vs Degerfors IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
15º
14º
50
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 58 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 26 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 96% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UTS
0 - 0
GEF
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 3
HEL
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 5
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
GEF
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
GEF
4 - 5
IKS
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DEG
2 - 0
GIF
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
OIF
1 - 1
DEG
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DEG
3 - 0
KAR
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DJU
3 - 0
DEG
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 2
DEG
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |