Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEE
0 - 2
SFL
38%
22%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HAS
2 - 4
GEE
56%
19%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEE
0 - 3
LEH
77%
13%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GEE
12 - 0
OSC
89%
8%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GEE
8 - 2
VAT
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
WER
6 - 1
VAT
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WER
2 - 2
SGA
47%
21%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BTN
2 - 1
WER
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WER
2 - 3
SCH
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
10 - 0
WER
91%
6%
3%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |