Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
72.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
6%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
1 - 2
GEE
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GEE
1 - 1
HAB
26%
20%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OSC
3 - 2
GEE
64%
17%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GEE
1 - 0
BTN
30%
22%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BRI
6 - 2
GEE
92%
6%
3%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
WER
2 - 0
GRO
86%
9%
6%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
SGA
3 - 2
WER
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
WER
0 - 1
BRE
10%
14%
76%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LEH
0 - 1
WER
24%
19%
57%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WER
0 - 1
SCH
56%
19%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |