Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
6º
33
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 3
GEE
30%
20%
51%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GEE
7 - 0
BRI
46%
20%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WER
8 - 0
GEE
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GEE
6 - 2
BTN
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 1
GEE
79%
12%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
VAT
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAT
3 - 1
BTN
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 2
VAT
87%
8%
5%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VAT
2 - 1
BLU
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 2
VAT
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |