Geestemünde vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
14.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
50
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LEH
2 - 2
GEE
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GEE
4 - 1
BRI
13%
15%
72%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +4 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GEE
3 - 1
TSS
26%
20%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
GEE
4 - 2
SGA
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
GEE
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 4
OBE
38%
21%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 1
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
BTN
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 3
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
BLU
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |