Geestemünde vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
62
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 1
GEE
21%
19%
60%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEE
1 - 2
UNI
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LEH
2 - 2
GEE
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GEE
4 - 1
BRI
13%
15%
72%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +4 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GEE
3 - 1
TSS
26%
20%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGA
4 - 1
OBE
41%
21%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SGA
5 - 0
WOL
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 3
SGA
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 1
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LEH
1 - 2
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |