Geestemünde vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
36
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
GEE
14%
17%
69%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GEE
2 - 4
VAT
68%
16%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
0 - 4
GEE
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
5 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
3 - 2
WOL
45%
21%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
OBE
41%
21%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
1 - 0
SCH
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 1
BTN
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
SCH
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
LEH
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |