Geestemünde vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
14º
2º
15
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
0 - 4
GEE
14%
16%
71%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 0
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
VAB
1 - 5
GEE
17%
17%
66%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
55%
19%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
OBE
31%
19%
50%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 1
SVH
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
2 - 3
OSC
31%
20%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 0
TRB
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
OSC
24%
19%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OSC
3 - 1
WOL
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |