Geestemünde vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
39.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
GEE
8%
12%
80%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
GEE
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 1
GEE
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GEE
0 - 3
BTN
79%
12%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 1
OBE
28%
20%
52%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 3
OSC
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
OSC
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OSC
2 - 4
LEH
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 3
OSC
53%
19%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |