Geestemünde vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
49.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.2%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
14º
2º
4
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 1
GEE
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GEE
5 - 2
OSC
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAB
3 - 3
GEE
36%
21%
43%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 3
GEE
63%
17%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 2
TKA
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
WER
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
BRI
80%
12%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
WER
14 - 0
OBE
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 4
BTN
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 2
OBE
71%
15%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |