Geestemünde vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
51.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
6º
47
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SVH
5 - 2
GEE
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GEE
6 - 1
WOL
65%
17%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 1
GEE
35%
21%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 1
LEH
81%
11%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 2
GEE
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 4
WOL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
OBE
18%
17%
66%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
OSC
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
HEE
8 - 0
OBE
22%
20%
58%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 4
OBE
11%
14%
76%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |