Geestemünde vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
14º
4º
22
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
VAB
1 - 5
GEE
17%
17%
66%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
55%
19%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
OBE
31%
19%
50%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 1
GEE
82%
11%
7%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GEE
5 - 2
OSC
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
5 - 1
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
3 - 3
BTN
45%
20%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BTN
3 - 3
TRB
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
6 - 0
BTN
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 4
BTN
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |