Geestemünde vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
41
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GEE
2 - 2
LEH
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 6
GEE
62%
18%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
HEE
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TSS
0 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 2
OBE
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
BTN
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
3 - 0
BTN
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 3
UNI
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
BTN
85%
10%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |