Geestemünde vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
6º
42
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 1
GEE
14%
16%
70%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 1
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
GEE
5 - 1
HAU
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SVH
6 - 3
GEE
78%
12%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GEE
2 - 2
BLU
62%
18%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
VAB
0 - 3
BLU
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BLU
5 - 1
LEH
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 3
WER
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GEE
2 - 2
BLU
62%
18%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 3
OBE
12%
15%
74%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |