Geestemünde vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
34
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
GEE
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 2
TKA
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 6
GEE
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 3
OBE
25%
19%
55%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
0 - 1
OSC
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 3
OBE
12%
15%
74%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
3 - 0
BLU
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
BTN
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 1
TSS
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
BLU
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |