Geel-Meerhout vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GEE
2 - 2
DEI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
GEE
38%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GEE
2 - 2
COX
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CER
3 - 3
GEE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GEE
1 - 1
ANT
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 5
EUP
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CER
2 - 0
HEI
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 3
ANT
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COX
2 - 2
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 1
DEI
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |