Geel-Meerhout vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SIN
0 - 1
GEE
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GEE
3 - 2
ACR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 0
ULL
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EUP
4 - 1
GEE
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 1
LIE
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 3
LIE
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 4
DES
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EUP
2 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |