Geel-Meerhout vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 1
GEE
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DEI
0 - 0
GEE
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GEE
2 - 1
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COX
0 - 2
GEE
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GEE
3 - 3
CER
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ANT
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COX
3 - 3
EXC
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
DEI
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
TUB
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
KSV
0 - 3
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |