Geel-Meerhout vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIS
0 - 1
GEE
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 3
LOM
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TUB
0 - 1
GEE
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 2
EUP
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 1
GEE
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
HEI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
EEA
3 - 0
EXC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
ANT
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DES
2 - 2
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
WSB
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |