Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
16º
5º
64
3º
18º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gedania Gdansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
GGD
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GGD
2 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 3
GGD
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GGD
1 - 1
PSZ
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
KSG
0 - 1
GGD
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PSR
1 - 4
OLI
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
PSR
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 5
PSR
20%
19%
60%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PSR
3 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 3
PSR
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +2 |