GE Bagé vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 1
LAJ
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
GEB
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 0
PEL
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 0
SGA
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
GEB
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LAJ
0 - 0
SGA
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 0
SGA
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SGA
0 - 0
PEL
29%
26%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |