Velense vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
76.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.2%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 5
ALC
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
BMA
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
10 - 0
REG
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
REG
69%
17%
13%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |