União Ericeirense vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFU
1 - 1
LOU
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
EDL
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |