Joane vs Brito SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
12º
12º
22
6º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
JOA
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 1
VSC
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
REB
3 - 0
JOA
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 0
OSA
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 1
JOA
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brito SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
DUM
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 3
BRI
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 3
VSC
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |