Fontinhas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
GDF
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 2
PRA
11%
18%
72%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BMA
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
1 - 0
SER
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
SER
37%
27%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |