Fontinhas vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
GDF
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
GDF
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 2
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
GDF
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 1
IMO
42%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
PRA
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 3
PRA
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PRA
3 - 0
IDE
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
PRA
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |