Fontinhas vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 2
GDF
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 2
VIT
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 1
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
GDF
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
GDF
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLE
0 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
PRA
24%
25%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +4 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
IDA
1 - 2
PEN
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |