Fontinhas vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
10º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 2
GDF
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
GDF
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
SCP
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
6 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |