Fontinhas vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 2
PRA
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
GDF
3 - 3
FAT
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 2
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
RDA
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAL
45%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
BMA
14%
22%
64%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |