Biaschesi vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 1
GCB
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GCB
4 - 1
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MEN
2 - 0
GCB
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GCB
2 - 1
FCZ
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
RAP
4 - 1
GCB
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
19%
22%
60%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FCL
3 - 3
GCZ
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
STG
1 - 2
FCL
56%
23%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |