GBK vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
7º
25
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GBK
1 - 1
VIF
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 1
GBK
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
5 - 1
GBK
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GBK
2 - 2
OLS
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 2
GBK
46%
21%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 4
ROP
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
NAR
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 2
TP4
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
NAR
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OTP
1 - 1
NAR
41%
21%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |