Kakkonen Playoffs Ascenso Final
Global 1-1
GBK vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TPV
5 - 2
GBK
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GBK
3 - 1
KUF
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GBK
4 - 2
OLS
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
KER
2 - 2
GBK
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 3
GBK
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MUS
1 - 2
KAP
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BK4
1 - 5
MUS
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MUS
0 - 3
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
HIF
0 - 3
MUS
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MUS
2 - 1
HOA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |