GBK vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
1º
1º
17
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GBK
4 - 2
OPS
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JPS
1 - 2
GBK
19%
19%
63%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ROI
0 - 4
GBK
19%
18%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GBK
2 - 0
OTP
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GBK
1 - 0
JBK
75%
15%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HER
2 - 4
SJJ
28%
20%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JBK
0 - 2
HER
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 4
OLS
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
NAR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
VIF
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |