Gazte Berriak vs Aurrera De Leitza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazte Berriak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 0
GAZ
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
2 - 2
CDI
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 4
GAZ
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
1 - 1
DNT
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 5
SUB
13%
21%
66%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aurrera De Leitza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 3
ZIR
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDU
3 - 0
AUR
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 0
AUR
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
CDI
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 1
CDS
50%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |