Premier Playoffs Final
Global 4-3
FC Orenburg vs Ufa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 2
GAZ
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 0
GAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 2
FCD
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TEK
2 - 5
GAZ
8%
19%
74%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 0
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ufa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCR
1 - 2
UFA
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UFA
2 - 1
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UFA
0 - 0
FCR
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KHI
1 - 1
UFA
53%
26%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
URA
2 - 1
UFA
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |