FC Orenburg vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 3
GAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 0
ZEN
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 3
GAZ
9%
22%
69%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 0
FAK
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
GAZ
24%
30%
46%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 2
TOS
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
TOS
20%
27%
54%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOS
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 2
ZEN
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 0
RAD
70%
21%
10%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |