FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
13º
9º
15
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SUM
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KEC
1 - 0
GAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 0
SPA
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
URA
3 - 3
GAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 2
LOK
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
NAS
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
DIN
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
UFA
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
TOR
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |