FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
13º
9º
18
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
DIN
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
FCR
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 0
GAZ
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 2
GAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 3
LOK
30%
23%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
LOK
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 3
KRA
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 0
KHI
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 2
FCR
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |