FC Orenburg vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 2
GAZ
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
3 - 0
SOC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FAK
0 - 1
GAZ
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GAZ
1 - 1
CSK
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
GAZ
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
URA
0 - 0
FAK
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KRS
3 - 0
FAK
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FAK
0 - 1
GAZ
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FAK
0 - 0
KRA
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FAK
2 - 0
OLY
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |