FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
13º
9º
16
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
FCR
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 0
GAZ
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 2
GAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 3
LOK
30%
23%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
AKT
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
5 - 1
KRS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 1
KRA
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 0
KRS
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
DMK
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
DIN
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |