Gazelle vs Fortuna Mfou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
14º
1º
10
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
20 | 49 |
1º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 48 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 48 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 46 |
4º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 36 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 36 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 26 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
14% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
GAZ
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GAZ
1 - 0
COS
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
GAZ
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GAZ
1 - 1
COT
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
DYD
0 - 0
GAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Mfou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 2
BAM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
APE
0 - 1
ASF
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 2
PWD
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 3
ASF
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ASF
3 - 2
AAF
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |