Gazélec Ajaccio vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
GAZ
0 - 1
BEZ
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 0
GAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
GAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
GAZ
0 - 0
QUE
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
GAZ
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 1
RED
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
QUE
2 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 1
LYO
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
USB
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |