Gazélec Ajaccio vs Marignane Gignac II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
6º
2º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GAZ
3 - 3
SCR
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GAZ
6 - 0
USM
90%
8%
3%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 2
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CBL
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
BAL
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |